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Nobel peace prize 2025: Winners, history, predictions

In United States News by Newsroom October 9, 2025

Nobel peace prize 2025: Winners, history, predictions

Credit: Yahoo News

The Nobel Peace Prize, one of the most prestigious international awards, was established by the will of Swedish inventor Alfred Nobel in 1895. Nobel dedicated a significant portion of his fortune to create prizes recognizing outstanding contributions to humanity in physics, chemistry, medicine, literature, and peace. The Peace Prize, specifically, honors individuals or organizations who have “done the most or the best work for fraternity between nations, the abolition or reduction of standing armies, and the formation and spreading of peace congresses.” Unique among the Nobel Prizes, it is awarded by a committee appointed by the Norwegian Parliament, reflecting Norway’s historical role in peace mediation. Over the past century, the prize has recognized a breadth of efforts, including peace negotiations, disarmament advocacy, humanitarian work, and conflict resolution. Recipients include iconic figures like Martin Luther King Jr., Mother Teresa, Nelson Mandela, and organizations such as the International Red Cross and the United Nations. The prize ceremony takes place annually in Oslo and serves as a global symbol of commitment to peace and human rights.​

The Nobel Peace Prize 2025: Nomination and selection process

The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize selection process adhered to rigorous nomination and vetting protocols. The nomination deadline was January 31, 2025, with a record 338 candidates put forward, comprising 244 individuals and 94 organizations. The Norwegian Nobel Committee convened for initial screening and deliberations in February. Although the committee does not publicly disclose nominated names or deliberations to protect confidentiality and avoid external pressures, it considers specific criteria emphasizing durable peacebuilding, reduction of conflict, and fostering international cooperation.

Expert analysis highlights that the committee typically favors sustained, quiet diplomacy or transformative international agreements over highly politicized or controversial candidacies, underscoring an emphasis on lasting impact rather than immediate headline generation. The winner announcement is scheduled for October 10, 2025, with the award ceremony planned for December 10 in Oslo. This timeline allows the committee to conduct thorough reviews, including geopolitical assessments and ethical considerations surrounding nominees’ actions and influence.​

Donald Trump’s Nobel Peace Prize prospects in 2025

Donald Trump, the former U.S. President, has publicly expressed aspirations for winning the Nobel Peace Prize, particularly emphasizing his role in brokering ceasefire agreements intended to end the ongoing conflict in Gaza following the escalation in 2023. His peace plan, unveiled in late 2024 and supported by subsequent diplomatic efforts, sought to establish a phased ceasefire, hostage releases, and humanitarian relief mechanisms, garnering international attention. Among bookmakers and analysts, Trump was considered an odds-on favorite for the 2025 Peace Prize, with implied probability estimates around 55.6%, reflecting strong market confidence partially fueled by the promising early phases of the ceasefire talks and international support from key US allies.

However, Trump’s path to securing the prize faces constitutional and procedural hurdles. The nomination deadline occurred early in his non-consecutive presidential term, close to inauguration dates, complicating official consideration. Critics have pointed to Trump’s controversial policies and leadership style, questioning whether his peace efforts sufficiently meet the Nobel Committee’s traditional criteria emphasizing long-term, consistent peace advocacy detached from political theatrics. Debates surrounding his candidacy highlight the complex interplay between political legacy, geopolitical achievements, and moral leadership in Nobel Peace Prize evaluations.​

False claims and speculation about Gavin Newsom and the 2025 prize

In the lead-up to the announcement of the Nobel Peace Prize in October 2025, social media and various informal channels circulated widespread misinformation claiming that California Governor Gavin Newsom had been awarded the prestigious prize. This narrative, which rapidly gained traction, originated from a satirical article published by comedian and writer Andy Borowitz on October 7, 2025. The fictional story humorously asserted that Newsom was honored for preventing an imaginary armed conflict between California and Oregon, and even suggested an exaggerated reaction from former President Donald Trump, who was humorously said to have “exploded with rage” over Newsom’s supposed win. This satirical report was shared extensively on multiple platforms, including a Facebook post by The Borowitz Report, contributing to confusion among audiences who mistook the parody for legitimate news.

The Norwegian Nobel Committee and the Nobel Foundation quickly dispelled these false claims by confirming that no decision regarding Newsom or any other laureate had yet been made, with the official 2025 Peace Prize scheduled for announcement on October 10, 2025. The committee maintains strict confidentiality surrounding nominations and deliberations for 50 years, further emphasizing that any premature claims lack verifiable basis. Official Nobel channels urged the public and media consumers to rely on formal announcements rather than unverified statements, stressing the importance of preventing the spread of misinformation that undermines the prize’s integrity. Newsom’s name did not appear in any credible nomination lists publicly accessible, reinforcing that the satirical piece was designed solely for entertainment rather than factual reporting.

Despite the falsehood, the incident ignited public curiosity about Newsom’s real possibility of becoming a Nobel Peace Prize contender. Some commentators speculated that Newsom’s political profile—highlighting his efforts in managing California’s internal tensions and promoting progressive environmental initiatives—could potentially align with the Nobel Committee’s evolving definitions of “peacebuilding.” Newsom’s advocacy for climate change mitigation, social equity, and prevention of polarized conflicts in the United States fuels debate about the Peace Prize’s expanding remit to include proactive peace and stability creators at regional or domestic levels. However, as of 2025, these discussions remain speculative and unofficial, given the formal nomination procedures and the committee’s criteria emphasizing sustained, global peace impacts.

This episode underlines the complicated relationship between high-profile peace accolades and contemporary media environments prone to rapid misinformation dissemination. The blurred lines between satire, opinion, and news in social media capacities demand critical evaluation by audiences and responsible communication by content creators. The viral myth of Newsom’s Nobel Peace Prize win serves as a case study in how political figures may become entwined in narratives that amplify or distort their public personas, sometimes independent of their actual achievements or recognition.

Moreover, the incident reflected the intense media and public scrutiny around the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize due to concurrent international developments, including the Israel-Gaza ceasefire efforts brokered by former President Donald Trump. The debate and misinformation surrounding Newsom contrasted with genuine discussions of Trump’s candidacy and other notable nominees engaged in diplomatic and humanitarian initiatives worldwide. As such, the satire highlighted tensions inherent in politicizing global honors while illustrating the diverse actors associated with peace advocacy.

The false claims about Gavin Newsom winning the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize were a deliberate work of satire that inadvertently sowed confusion online. Official Nobel Prize authorities and credible news outlets firmly debunked the unfounded reports, urging reliance on formal announcements. While Newsom’s political efforts occasionally intersect with peace-related themes, his candidacy for the prize remains speculative and unconfirmed. This misinformation episode showcases the need for discernment amidst politically charged environments and underscores the significance of the Nobel Peace Prize as a symbol of verified, principled international peace accomplishments.

Overview of Recent Nobel Peace Prize Winners and 2025 Expectations

Historically, the Nobel Peace Prize has honored a wide range of recipients spanning from activist leaders like Rigoberta Menchú and Nelson Mandela to institutions such as the United Nations and International Red Cross. The prize reflects evolving global challenges—from apartheid and ethnic conflicts to climate change and humanitarian crises. In recent years, recipients have included individuals and organizations engaged in mediating conflicts, promoting nuclear disarmament, and advancing refugee rights. As the world grapples with complex geopolitical challenges, including wars, pandemics, and climate emergencies, the Peace Prize continues emphasizing durable peace contributions.

For 2025, committee members are reportedly considering candidates involved in international peace negotiations, climate diplomacy, and efforts to strengthen multilateralism. The intense focus on the Israel-Gaza ceasefire and broader Middle East peace prospects adds particular relevance to Middle Eastern diplomats and UN-linked humanitarian organizations. At the same time, evolving global concerns like economic inequalities and technological governance feature in deliberations. While political figures such as Donald Trump remain in the spotlight, experts widely anticipate a recipient embodying consistent, long-term peacebuilding rather than transient political breakthroughs. The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize thus acts as both a reflection of contemporary peace challenges and a beacon encouraging sustained global collaboration.